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PS2: Uncertainty Quantification and Optimization - AI Approaches to Reservoir Management and Control

Monday, September 5, 2022
6:50 PM - 8:00 PM
Foyer & Room 1.2

Speaker

Maria Subbotina
Aramco Innovations

Prediction sequence optimization guided by similarity of well logs

6:50 PM - 6:55 PM

Summary

One of the primary sources of information about oil and gas reservoirs are well logs. They play a crucial role in formation evaluation tasks assessing the capacity properties of the reservoir, such as porosity, oil and water saturation. But the process of well logs interpretation is a non-trivial procedure requiring special software and expert knowledge. In order to optimize this procedure, machine and deep learning algorithms are used for missing logs reconstruction and new logs generation.
In this work, a novel approach was proposed to predict a set of logs (porosity, water saturation, and volume of shale) from the conventional well log data for the Volve benchmark field. A sequence of feed-forward networks with multiple outputs and a step-by-step extension of the training dataset was applied. A sequencing for adding test wells with predicted targets into training data justified by similarity calculation between train and test wells. Presenting well logs as time series, the similarity between two wells is estimated with dynamic time warping (DTW) distance, Mahalanobis distance, Minkowski distance, and other algorithms. Robustness analysis is performed to evaluate sensitivity of different similarity measures, various number of input logs and vertical extension of log sections. The prediction quality was assessed by cumulative root mean squared error (RMSE) calculated from the shale volume, porosity, and water saturation values.
Results show that adding test wells in the training dataset with alternation of the most and least similar increases the score at average by 5% of RMSE. In opposite adding test wells from more similar to less similar decreases the score. Extending the training data neural network better recognizes patterns in the newly predicted wells, despite the error in added wells. As the result of prediction is sensitive to the sequence, evolutionary optimization is employed to find the beneficial prediction sequence of wells.
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Prof. Dr Mustafa Onur
McMan Chair Professor and Chairman
The University of Tulsa,

Nonlinearly Constrained Life-Cycle Production Optimization With a Least-Squares Support-Vector Regression Proxy

6:55 PM - 7:00 PM

Summary

Life-cycle production optimization is a crucial component of closed-loop reservoir management, referring to optimizing a production-driven objective function via varying well controls during a reservoir’s lifetime. However, when nonlinear constraints (such as field liquid production rate, field gas production rate, injection pressures, etc.) as functions of time need to be honored in addition to linear ones, the problem becomes significantly more challenging and computationally expensive to perform using a high-fidelity reservoir simulator with the existing gradient-based methods using the adjoint or stochastic simplex approximate gradient (StoSAG). Therefore, in this study, we present an efficient algorithm for nominal production optimization under bound, linear, and nonlinear constraints using the least-squares support-vector regression (LS-SVR), where the cost function is the net present value (NPV). We achieve computational efficiency by generating a set of output values of the NPV and nonlinear constraint functions by running the high-fidelity simulator for a broad set of input design variables (well controls) and then using the set of input/output data to train LS-SVR proxy models to replace the high-fidelity simulator when computing values of NPV and nonlinear constraint functions during iterations of sequential quadratic programming (SQP). To obtain improved (higher) estimated optimal NPV values, we use a method so-called iterative resampling with the LS-SVR proxy. With this iterative resampling method, after each proxy-based optimization, one evaluates the cost and constraint functions at the estimated optimal controls using reservoir-simulator output, and then adds this new input/output information to the training set to update the proxy models for predicting NPV and constraints. Using the updated proxies, one applies SQP optimization again. The results obtained from our new LS-SVR method are compared with those obtained from our recently developed StoSAG-based line-search sequential quadratic programming (StoSAG-LS-SQP) in which the gradients are computed from a high-fidelity simulator for the nonlinearly constrained optimization problem. We demonstrate the computational performances of the proposed methods on two small and intuitive numerical experiments and a field-scale realistic problem. All investigated cases involve multiphase flow simulated using a commercial reservoir simulator with a black-oil formulation. Different combinations of design variables including bottom-hole pressures of producers and water injection rates of the injectors are tested as feature space for LS-SVR. The nonlinear constraints are field liquid production rate and water production rate. The main conclusion of our results is that nonlinear constrained optimization with the LS-SVR iterative resampling with SQP is computationally 2 times more efficient than StoSAG-LS-SQP.

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